Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.221640 0.257927 0.298358 0.346764 0.403174 0.466874 0.544327
2025-02-23 0.161627 0.208713 0.266912 0.344224 0.444402 0.570071 0.740098
2025-03-02 0.126974 0.176049 0.241165 0.334068 0.463573 0.638253 0.892749
2025-03-09 0.109841 0.161393 0.233880 0.343530 0.505818 0.738175 1.098003
2025-03-16 0.094924 0.146620 0.223032 0.344606 0.534117 0.819837 1.286385
2025-03-23 0.084604 0.136646 0.217077 0.350969 0.569613 0.914912 1.506291
2025-03-30 0.073586 0.123744 0.204457 0.344440 0.582882 0.975660 1.678203
2025-04-06 0.065179 0.113771 0.194941 0.341166 0.600179 1.043876 1.870206
2025-04-13 0.058821 0.106318 0.188481 0.341862 0.623711 1.124611 2.093615
2025-04-20 0.055617 0.103925 0.190320 0.357176 0.674734 1.259293 2.432066
2025-04-27 0.052338 0.100918 0.190581 0.369411 0.721267 1.390935 2.781749
2025-05-04 0.049168 0.097681 0.189940 0.379678 0.765015 1.522127 3.147391
2025-05-11 0.045403 0.092923 0.186030 0.383452 0.797283 1.636646 3.499043
2025-05-18 0.041354 0.087104 0.179368 0.380881 0.816442 1.727559 3.815171
2025-05-25 0.036960 0.080002 0.169213 0.369621 0.815617 1.776369 4.046177
2025-06-01 0.035037 0.077911 0.169213 0.380107 0.863195 1.934586 4.543890
2025-06-08 0.032521 0.074196 0.165268 0.381300 0.890007 2.050067 4.958757
2025-06-15 0.030709 0.071837 0.163998 0.388352 0.931072 2.202783 5.483410
2025-06-22 0.028048 0.067186 0.157007 0.381117 0.937307 2.274724 5.819645
2025-06-29 0.025900 0.063492 0.151798 0.377487 0.951793 2.368139 6.223214
2025-07-06 0.024230 0.060760 0.148545 0.378259 0.977327 2.491876 6.723137
2025-07-13 0.023634 0.060624 0.151567 0.395232 1.046520 2.734624 7.575936
2025-07-20 0.022867 0.059958 0.153193 0.408794 1.108527 2.966666 8.433269